Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.180448 0.203263 0.227271 0.254360 0.284019 0.315447 0.351211
2025-04-27 0.154537 0.186088 0.221045 0.262454 0.309964 0.362562 0.424984
2025-05-04 0.132577 0.169342 0.211955 0.264576 0.327365 0.399426 0.487896
2025-05-11 0.117432 0.158146 0.207261 0.270150 0.347751 0.439556 0.555487
2025-05-18 0.106297 0.150208 0.205122 0.277731 0.369990 0.482024 0.626930
2025-05-25 0.093375 0.138359 0.196629 0.276091 0.379906 0.509096 0.679947
2025-06-01 0.083064 0.128724 0.189850 0.275618 0.390547 0.536755 0.733983
2025-06-08 0.074188 0.120042 0.183388 0.274690 0.399953 0.562576 0.785952
2025-06-15 0.068724 0.115600 0.182196 0.280479 0.418115 0.599960 0.853632
2025-06-22 0.062285 0.109021 0.177337 0.280583 0.428156 0.626529 0.907485
2025-06-29 0.056546 0.102907 0.172577 0.280301 0.437295 0.651800 0.959949
2025-07-06 0.051499 0.097364 0.168164 0.280060 0.446178 0.676666 1.012213
2025-07-13 0.047574 0.093411 0.166065 0.283370 0.460653 0.710285 1.078337
2025-07-20 0.044983 0.091440 0.166869 0.291018 0.481658 0.753627 1.159116
2025-07-27 0.041388 0.087361 0.163964 0.292660 0.493643 0.784332 1.222824
2025-08-03 0.038920 0.085032 0.163701 0.298331 0.511771 0.824262 1.300525
2025-08-10 0.037085 0.083676 0.164917 0.306331 0.533629 0.870108 1.387726
2025-08-17 0.033727 0.079091 0.160273 0.304436 0.539900 0.892971 1.441982
2025-08-24 0.030907 0.075244 0.156601 0.303857 0.548058 0.918679 1.500813
2025-08-31 0.028285 0.071507 0.152824 0.302814 0.555288 0.943006 1.557975
2025-09-07 0.026903 0.070188 0.153323 0.309058 0.574410 0.985813 1.643514
2025-09-14 0.024826 0.067160 0.150421 0.309159 0.583364 1.013072 1.706122
2025-09-21 0.022877 0.064196 0.147409 0.308847 0.591509 1.039146 1.767346